"300 million vs 200 million! Midfielder strangle battle in the final of the Club World Cup, can Paris high-pressure pass control break through the Blues counterattack? 》

The 2025 Club World Cup final will start at 3 am on July 14 at the Metropolitan Life Stadium in New York, against Chelsea (European Union Champions League) and Paris Saint-Germain (Champions League Champions League). The following is a comprehensive analysis of this peak showdown:

1. The background of the game and the road to promotion

Chelsea defeated Brazilian team Fruminense 2-0 in the semi-finals, and the new Brazilian striker Joao Pedro scored twice, becoming a key contributor.

This tournament lost to Flamenco 1-3, but then adjusted its state and eliminated Palmeiras and Fruminense successively to show resilience.

European League champion participated in the competition and has won the fourth domestic league and European trophy this season, with high morale.

Paris Saint-Germain swept Real Madrid 4-0 in the semi-finals, midfielder Fabian Ruiz made two goals alone, Dembele made a pass in 3 minutes, showing his terrifying attack power.

has 8 wins and 2 losses in the last 10 games, averaging 2.6 goals per game, and has defeated Bayern, Real Madrid and other giants in the knockout stage, and is in a peak state.

As the defending champion of the Champions League, he has won four championships this season, and the team has good understanding and confidence.

2. Core duels and tactical highlights

Midfield matches

Chelsea's three giants (total value of 285 million euros):

Palmer (120 million, 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games), Kessedo (90 million, 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games), and Enzo (75 million, 1 goal and 0 assist in 6 games).

Paris Iron Triangle (total value of 200 million euros):

Joao Neves (80 million, 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 games), Vitinia (80 million, 1 goal and 2 assist in 6 games), and Fabian (40 million, 3 goals and 1 assist in 6 games).

Chelsea focuses on defensive counterattacks, while Paris focuses on high-pressure pass control (with 68% possession rate against Real Madrid).

Forward threat

Chelsea relies on Pedro (4 goals in 3 games) and winger Neto's speed counterattack.

The Paris forward line consists of Dembele (a popular in the Golden Ball), Douai and Kvaratschlia, with strong impact on both wings.

Defense stability

Chelsea full-back James + Kukurelia has both offense and defense, but the central defender combination (Challoba + Adarabioyu) is facing a high pressure test.

Ashraf + Mendes have obvious speed advantages on the Paris side, and central defenders Pacho + Marginhos have rich experience.

3. The key to winning and losing and predictions

Paris advantage

The overall strength is more balanced, the Champions League championship has a deep foundation, and high-pressure pressing may force Chelsea to make mistakes in the backcourt.

data agency OPTA predicts that the probability of Paris winning the championship is 39.1%, slightly higher than Chelsea's 34.1%.

Chelsea Opportunity

If you use Pedro's impact and direct midfield pass (such as Enzo's accurate pass), you may target the weaknesses of temporary adjustments to the Paris central defender.

supercomputer model shows that Chelsea's winning rate is 26.8%, and Paris is 24.9%, with a small gap.

score prediction

most analytics tend to win in Paris' regular time (1-3 or 2-1), but Chelsea may drag into overtime (0-0 or 1-1).

4. Other information

Historical confrontation: Paris has remained unbeaten against Chelsea in the last 4 times, but Chelsea reversed Paris in the 2021 Champions League.

Referee law enforcement: Chinese referees Ma Ning and Fu Ming participated in the law enforcement of this event, but the referee in the final was not clear.

Event significance: After the restructuring, the first Club World Cup champion will win a prize of US$125 million, becoming the "world's number one club."

Summary: This final is not only a competition of technical and tactical skills, but also a collision between two major European schools (passing and controlling vs counterattack). Paris has a slight advantage, but Chelsea's resilience and explosive power of new players may create unpopularity.

Direction prediction: Let win Boxing score prediction: 1-1 2-2 3-3

Total goal prediction: 2-4