8.13 The Battle of Kings! Champions League overlord Paris vs. Europa League upstart Tottenham, the European Super Cup will stage the ultimate showdown!

Match background and recent status

Paris Saint-Germain: As the Champions League champion last season (swept Inter 5-0 in the final), the offseason lineup basically retains the core framework, only adding goalkeeper Schalillier (Lier) and central defender Zabalni (Bornemouth). But midfielder Neves was suspended due to a red card, goalkeeper Donaluma was excluded from the list, and new player Shevalier will show his debut. The pre-season preparation time is short (training restarts on August 6), but it remains in shape through high-intensity internal competitions.

Tottenham: Europa League champion, but offseason turbulence: meritorious coach Postkoglu was fired, and new coach Frank (formerly Brentford) took office. Core Son Heung-min left the team, and new players Kudus (wind) and Palinia (back midfielder) need to be quickly integrated. Severe injuries: Madison (cruciate ligament), Kulusevsky, Solank (suspected injury), Dragusin and other 7 people were absent. The preseason defeated Bayern 0-4, exposing offensive and defensive problems.

Line-up and key players

Paris (4-3-3 prediction):

Goalkeeper: Shevalier

Demolition guard: Ashraf, Marginhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes

Midfielders: Vitinia, Emery (substitute Neves), Ruiz

Forwards: Dembele (pseudo-Nine), Douai, Kvaratsheria's core combat power:

Dembele: 51 goals + assists last season, with a 38% success rate of oblique plug on the right rib, targeting Tottenham wingback Polo returned to the weak zone.

Kvaratskhlia: The success rate of breaking through the right side is 52%, and the linkage with Ashraf can suppress Boro.

Tottenham (4-3-3 prediction):

Goalkeeper: Vicario

defender: Polo, Romero, Van der Fen, Spence

Midfielder: Bentancur, Palinia, Saar

Forwards: Johnson, Risalisson, Kudus 7 Key points: Kudus: The preseason focuses on cutting in the right (70% breaking inward), but the passing accuracy is 19% lower than Madison.

Setting ball: Romero (1.88 meters) competes for the top of the front point + Solank (if appear) encircles the back point, targeting Paris goalkeeper Schalvalier's weakness in attack (the error rate of high-altitude ball handling is 22%).

Key points of tactical showdown

Midfield control: Paris "Maybach midfielder" (Vitinia + Emery + Ruiz) has a ball possession rate of 66.8%, and a long pass success rate of 71%, which will target Bentancur's right-side area where the running declined after a knee injury. Tottenham relied on Sal's long pass counterattack after steals (success rate of 68%), but Madison's absence caused a 32% decline in creativity.

Blasting on the Wing vs. Settings: Paris' right attack: Kvaratskhelia broke through, the lateral replacement speed of Tottenham's defense dropped by 15%, creating space for Dembele's top shot (probability 35%).

Tottenham set-piece: Kudus is a corner kick in the inner rotation + Polo’s external rotation cross, forming a “seven-man penalty area” tactic, with a double killing move that refracts the front point + a back point encirclement.

Physical energy consumption and climate: The temperature in Udine, Italy reached 34℃, humidity 38%, and the sweat loss rate of Paris players increased by 22%. Tottenham may reduce the pressing efficiency by 18% after 70 minutes. Paris substitute Mbayer (34.1km/h sprint speed) may become a decisive piece

Data and institutional views

Indicators Paris Saint-Germain Tottenham Hotspur's winning odds of 1.33-1.407.00 Handicap initial handicap - 1.25 goals + 1.25 ball possession rate 66.8% (forecast) less than 40% recent attacks in the last 5 games 18 goals 3 goals

Winning and losing hand summary

Paris win conditions: the midfield suppresses Tottenham's double waists, and the right blast creates an opportunity for inverted triangles; Mbayer is activated after 60 minutes in high temperature to hit the fatigue defense line.

Tottenham's upset conditions: efficient conversion of set pieces (refraction of Romero's front point); Kudus breaks through and restrains, forcing the Paris central defender to fill the spot and exposes the gap.

Comprehensive recommendation: Paris wins in regular time, with a total goal of 2-3 goals, a draw/win in half. If Tottenham successfully shrinks the defense line on the spot, it is necessary to defend against a draw.