Japan-Japan League: Tokyo Greenland vs. the championship-winning giant Kawasaki forward

002 Tokyo Greenland VS Kawasaki Forward

Team situation

Tokyo Greenland's record this season is bleak, with only 24 points after 21 rounds of matches, ranking 15th in the league, and the relegation situation is in danger. The team's recent form has fallen to the bottom, with only 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 games, and many problems have been exposed on both ends of offense and defense. On the offensive end, the team averaged only 0.87 goals per game, ranking third from the bottom in the league, and the problem of weak front line was serious. The forward line has been ineffective in the last three games. The inefficient crosses on the wing (success rate is only 28%) and the over-reliance on the middle penetration tactics make the opponent's defense easy. The long-term absence of the midfield core Takaki Yamada has caused the midfield confrontation success rate to plummet to 48.7%, making it difficult to effectively organize the offense and deliver shells to the front line.

The defensive end is also full of loopholes, with 1.42 goals conceded higher than the league average, making it one of the teams with the most goals conceded in the league. It is worth noting that up to 39% of goals conceded occurred in the last 15 minutes of the game, which not only reflects the player's physical allocation problem, but also exposes the fatal flaw of insufficient defensive focus. In addition, when the team's ball possession rate exceeds 55%, the winning rate is as low as 22%. This "fake pass-through" tactic has become a drag in actual combat. Looking back at the historical clash with Kawasaki striker, Tokyo Green is completely at a disadvantage. Not only does it lose more than it wins, but it has also been completely blocked by its opponents in the last three clashes, and it is under tremendous pressure on its psychological level.

In contrast, Kawasaki forward has firmly ranked in the upper level of the standings with 35 points, and has a record of 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 main games, showing strong championship strength. The team has fierce offensive firepower, ranking second in the league in 2.1 goals per game, and can be converted into one goal every 5.3 shots, and its offensive efficiency is amazing. In terms of tactical system, Kawasaki striker has distinct characteristics and efficient execution capabilities. The "trident" on the offensive end is terrifying: The master of Hashisaka averages 2.3 key passes per game, and uses his accurate rib scalpel to tear open the opponent's defense line; Tomosu Oshigaki breaks through on the wing with a 63% success rate; Shuhei Kawasaki touches the ball in the penalty area every 90 minutes, and has a strong ability to insert it afterwards. The three of them cooperated with each other, making the opponent unable to defend.

It is worth noting that Kawasaki striker has also excellent away game capabilities, with 7 goals in the last two away games, and a high-pressure success rate of up to 64%, forming an efficient offensive and defensive linkage. Even though the main scorer Erisson was absent, the midfielders averaged 11.2 kilometers of running distance per game. Through active fighting and running positions, they made up for the shortcomings in personnel and built a solid first line of defense for the team. In the historical confrontation with Tokyo Greenland, Kawasaki forward maintained a 100% winning rate and had an absolute advantage in both psychological and tactical aspects.

Result prediction

From the agency's handicap of 0.25, and the 67% winning rate of Kawasaki Forward when facing Tokyo Greenland in the past 8 times, the market is generally more optimistic about Kawasaki Forward. The winner of the game lies in the control of the pace of the game: the Kawasaki forward averaged 7.2 quick counterattack opportunities per game, which happened to target Tokyo Greenland's 32% offensive and defensive turnover rate; Tokyo Greenland only won 1 win this season at home, and the 16:7 goal difference in historical confrontations has added weight to Kawasaki Forward's victory. In addition, when Tokyo Greenland possesses more than 60%, the "curse" with zero winning rate may become their nightmare again. Although the football game is full of uncertainty, based on various data and actual situations, it is very likely that Kawasaki striker will score all three-pointers away.

Direction: Main negative