JJ-Sports > Football > 2025.05.25 Premier League: Newcastle vs. Everton pre-match analysis

2025.05.25 Premier League: Newcastle vs. Everton pre-match analysis

At 23:00 on May 25, the 38th round of the Premier League will usher in a focus battle, with Newcastle United playing against Everton at home St James' Park. This game not only concerns Newcastle United's Champions League qualification, but also will be the honorary battle for Everton to end the season. The following will conduct a comprehensive analysis from the recent performance, overall strength, lineup situation and past confrontations between the two teams.

1. Recent performance

(I) Newcastle United lost to Arsenal 0-1 away in the last round of the league. The momentum of unbeaten in three consecutive rounds ended, and morale suffered a certain blow. However, after 37 rounds of the Premier League this season, they achieved a record of 20 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses, ranking fourth in the standings with 66 points, and the same points as Chelsea and Aston Villa behind them, the situation of competing for UEFA Champions League qualification is grim. In 37 rounds of the league this season, Newcastle United scored 68 goals, making it the second-most goals in the league, and its offensive firepower is very strong. Main striker Isaac has made 37 appearances in the league this season and is currently ranked second in the Premier League scorer list and is the core figure of the team's offense. In addition, Newcastle United has won 12 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in 18 leagues this season, with a home winning rate of 67%. They have won all home games in the last 6 leagues, with averaging more than 3 goals per game, and their home firepower is fierce, and all of them have been clean in their last 3 leagues, showing strong home dominance.

(II) Everton

Everton defeated Southampton 2-0 at home in the last league, and won a complete victory in the last two rounds of the league, and his condition has improved significantly. After 37 rounds of the Premier League this season, they have achieved a record of 10 wins, 15 draws and 12 losses, ranking 13th in the standings with 45 points, and have completed the relegation mission ahead of schedule. In 37 league games, Everton scored 41 goals and conceded 44 goals, and his performance on both offense and defense was relatively average, especially his offensive end was slightly insufficient firepower. It is worth noting that Tarkovsky, Lindstrom and Mangala have been reimbursed for the season due to injury. Among them, Tarkovs played 33 games for the team in basic season and started all of them. He is the team's main central defender, and his absence has a great impact on the team's defense.

2. Overall strength

In terms of team value, Newcastle United's market value is 640.25 million euros, while Everton's market value is 388.3 million euros. Newcastle United has more advantages in lineup configuration. In terms of offense, Newcastle United has shown strong attack power this season, with a large number of goals per game and rich offensive methods. Players such as Isaac and Murphy have excellent personal abilities, and midfielders can also provide strong support for the offense. In contrast, Everton's offensive performance was mediocre and lacked stable and efficient scoring points. On the defensive end, Newcastle United's overall performance was relatively stable and the defense line was organized in an orderly manner. Everton's defense strength declined after the main central defender Tarkovsky was injured.

3. Lineup situation

(I) Newcastle United

Except for some long-term injury players, the team's lineup is relatively complete and the main players can play. The coach can rank the strongest lineup and strive for the Champions League qualification with all his might. Isaac is in a hot state on the offensive line, midfielder Henderson and other players can control the rhythm of the game, and the defense line also has strong strength.

(II) Everton

As mentioned above, many main players of the team were absent due to injuries, which had a certain impact on the team's lineup depth and tactical arrangement. On both offensive and defensive ends, other players may need to come forward and fill the gap, which is a test for the team's overall performance.

4. In past matches, the two sides have played in the last 10 matches, with Newcastle United taking the upper hand with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Newcastle United has led a slight lead with 2 win, 2 draw and 1 loss in the last five matches, scoring 6 goals, while Everton has scored five goals. However, Everton has maintained an unbeaten record of 1 win and 2 draw against Newcastle United in the last three times, drew 1-1 away last season, and the two sides drew 2-2 on October 6, 2024, which also added confidence to Everton in this game.

5. Game forecast

Based on the above analysis, Newcastle United is significantly stronger than Everton in terms of home advantage, overall strength and offensive firepower. Although Everton's form has rebounded recently and has performed in previous confrontations, Newcastle United will definitely do its best in this battle for the Champions League qualification. Newcastle United is expected to control the rhythm of the game at home and win the game with its strong offensive ability. However, Everton's defense is not without resilience, and they may also cause trouble for Newcastle United in the game. In terms of score prediction, Newcastle United is likely to defeat Everton 2-1 or 3-1, but the football game is full of uncertainty, and Everton also has the possibility of a surprise score.

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