[Others dreams become your daily life] La Liga 22: 15 Barcelona - Real Madrid In-depth prediction

Recent status of the two teams:

Barcelona currently leads La Liga with 25 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 79 points, leading Real Madrid 4 points to take the initiative in the championship. This weekend's league match against Real Madrid can be called the "Battle of Kings Mountain". If you can win, you will basically be sure to win the league championship. But the team faced severe tests - the Champions League quarter-finals against Inter Milan in the mid-week, and was eliminated after a 3-3-time battle, and both physical fitness and morale were hit hard. What's even more difficult is that Barcelona's home performance has declined this season (13 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses), especially when facing strong opponents, they often reveal the problem of unstable defense.

Real Madrid is currently 23 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, with 75 points, ranking second in the away game, with 9 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, and performing well on both ends of offense and defense. With the King's Cup final losing to Barcelona, ​​the team will shift all centers to the league to revenge. In the last four games, Mbappe and Vinicius have been in full form and Real Madrid has the advantage of physical fitness and lineup depth, and they have a strong desire to fight revenge.

The initial data has strong support for Barcelona's home court, but the subsequent trend shows that confidence has increased and it has failed to reflect the recent status differences between the two teams. Although Barcelona has the advantage of home court, the consumption of two-line battles is significant - 10 players have been rotated in the last two rounds of the league, and the main players in the defense line, Martinelli and Ku and Brazil are in a critical state of physical fitness. In contrast, all Real Madrid players are healthy and have strong tactics. Ancelotti may hit Barcelona's left-side empty space at midpoint. Barcelona has been eliminated in the Champions League, so Real Madrid naturally spared no effort when they encounter strong rivals.

Tactical style

Barcelona: adopts a 4-3-3 pass control system, relying on the dispatch of midfielders Pedri and Garvey and Yamal's breakthrough on the flank, with the forward Lewandowski as the fulcrum, and Rafinia cuts inside to create a threat.

Real Madrid: Focus on 4-4-2 defensive counterattack, relying on the wing speed of Mbappe and Vinicius, midfielder Bellingham inserted and created opportunities.

Linework injury

Barcelona: Main defenders Conde, Barde and Cassado are absent for a long time, Garcia plays a cameo on the right side, and may be targeted by Real Madrid on the left side. Lewandowski has a doubts about shoulder injury. If he is absent, the offense will rely on Yamal and Ferran Torres' wing breakthroughs and set-piece tactics.

Real Madrid: Carvajal, Militon, Rudiger, Mendy and other main defenders are all injured, with only Vosquez and Joan Aménie playing guest appearances in the back defense, and their air defense capabilities are doubtful.

Recent status

Barcelona: Scored 78 goals in the league, strong offensive firepower, but conceded 6 goals in the last 5 games, and the defensive stability declined. The average ball possession rate of 63% at home is and the home advantage is significant. This season, he has 12 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at home, with a winning rate of 80%.

Real Madrid: 11 wins, 5 draws and unbeaten in the last 16 away games, and their away performance is stable, but the temporary defense is significant, conceding 5 goals in the last 3 games.

Key counterparts

Middle field control competition: Barcelona's Pedri + Garvey combination needs to limit Real Madrid's forward insertion and Cross's long pass dispatch.

Wide offensive and defensive game: Yamal and Rafinia's right breakthrough will face Real Madrid's temporary left-back Mendy. If successfully suppressed, it can create shooting space for Lewandowski; Real Madrid needs Vinicius to take advantage of Barcelona's defensive loopholes on the right.

Set offense and defense: Barcelona scored nine set pieces this season, and Lewandowski's ability to compete for the top may target Real Madrid's air defense shortcomings; Real Madrid relies on Joan Améni's header threat.

Lineup Analysis:

Barcelona

Goalkeeper: Ter Stegen is absent due to injury, and the starting lineup is expected to be Szczesny. Szczesni has rich experience in the competition, strong goal line skills and reaction ability, and can make key saves in defense.

Defender: From left to right, they may be Martin, Martinez, Kubales, and Garcia. Martin has a good defensive awareness and a certain level of assisting ability. Martinez has a fierce defense and excellent heading ability, and has an advantage in defending high altitude and set balls. Kubaers has a good sense of position and a relatively stable defense. However, right-back Garcia's slow turn may become a weakness in the team's defense and is easily targeted by speed players such as Real Madrid's Vinicius.

Midfielder: De Jong and Pedri are key players in the midfield. De Jong has comprehensive skills, accurate passes, excellent organization and offensive ability, and can provide certain interceptions and steals on the defensive end. Pedri is the core of the team. His passing success rate is as high as 92%, he has strong midfield control ability, and he dominates the team's offensive rhythm through reasonable running and passing balls. At the same time, he also actively participates in high-level pressing in defense.

Frontcourt: Rafinia performed well this season, with strong breakthroughs and crosses on the right side, and was able to create threatening offensive opportunities for the team. Olmo has excellent dribbling and ball-handling skills, which plays a role in connecting the midfield and the forward line, adding creativity to the offense. Yamal is a talented player of the team. He is fast and explosive. Breakthrough on the left side is an important offensive method for the team. Moreover, his goals and assists this season are also quite impressive, and he has strong finishing ability.

Forward: Lewandowski is expected to start after returning from injury. As the team's main striker, Lewandowski has a keen sense of smell in front of the goal, superb shooting skills, and strong scoring ability. He has scored 43 goals this season, which is an important guarantee for the team's offensive end and can create more goals opportunities for the team in the penalty area.

Real Madrid

Goalkeeper: Courtois is Real Madrid's starting goalkeeper. He is tall and has long arms, excellent goal line skills, outstanding reaction speed and prediction ability, and can make some wonderful saves in the defense. He is the last solid defense line on the team's defense line.

Defender: From left to right are Fran Garcia, Chuaméni, Asensio, and Vasquez. Fran Garcia has a flexible defense and strong assist ability. She can play a certain role in both offense and defense on the left side.. Chu Aménie played a guest appearance as a central defender due to injury to the team's defender. He has excellent physical fitness and wide defense coverage, but his experience in the central defender position may be relatively insufficient. Asensio and Vazquez are both versatile players, with certain defensive abilities and offensive awareness, but they may face greater defensive pressure when facing Barcelona's strong offense.

Midfielder: Guerre may start to play the role of the organizer. He averaged 82 touches per game, had good ball control and organizational skills, was able to control the rhythm of the game in the midfield, and sorted out an effective pass line for the team's offense. Both Ceballos and Valverde are offensive midfielders. Ceballos has delicate skills and creative passes. Valverde has excellent physical fitness and active defense. At the same time, he can also intervene in and participate in the offensive end to increase offensive firepower for the team.

Front Midfielder: Bellingham is a key player of the team. He has excellent physical fitness and comprehensive technical ability. He can not only actively return to defense on the defensive end, but also pass the offensive end and participate in the offensive, creating threatening scoring opportunities for the team. His performance this season is also very outstanding and is an important hub for Real Madrid's offense and defense.

Forward: Mbappe and Vinicius Jr. are Real Madrid's forward combination, both of them have extremely fast speed and excellent personal abilities. Mbappe has strong finishing ability in front of the goal, and has high goal efficiency whether it is a shot in the penalty area or a shot after a personal breakthrough. Vinicius Jr. has strong breakthrough and dribbling ability on the left side. He can use his speed to tear open the opponent's defense line and create a shooting opportunity for himself and his teammates. The speed combination of the two is the biggest threat to Barcelona's defense line.

Score prediction: optimistic about Barcelona winning!

3-1 Barcelona winning: According to the analysis of betclan website, through algorithm analysis of statistics, recent performance, etc., Barcelona's probability of winning is 51%, the probability of the total number of goals exceeding 2.5 is 75%, and the probability of both sides scoring is 75%, of which the predicted score of 3-1 is 19%. Barcelona has beaten Real Madrid three times this season, with obvious psychological advantages and are at home. With the cheers of Camp Nou fans, the players are more motivated. Barcelona has strong offensive firepower. If Lewandowski returns, he will further enhance his offensive strength. Rafinia, Yamal and other players' breakthroughs on the wing are also quite threatening. Although Real Madrid has the ability to counterattack, they have many injuries on the defense line and are difficult to resist Barcelona's attack.

2-2 draw: Both sides have injuries on the current defense lines, and there may be a balance of power in tactical games. Barcelona has strong ball control ability and will dominate the rhythm of the game, but Real Madrid's defensive counterattack also poses certain threats. Settings may become a key factor in determining the outcome of the game. Both sides have excellent set pieces and may score through set pieces. Therefore, the possibility of handshake and harmony cannot be ignored.

3-2 Barcelona wins: Barcelona has obvious home advantage and strong offensive strength. Players such as Lewandowski and Yamal are in excellent condition and can create more goalscoring opportunities. Although Real Madrid has offensive players such as Mbappe and Vinicius, there are hidden dangers in the defense line and may be seized by Barcelona. However, Real Madrid's counterattack ability should not be underestimated and may create a threat to Barcelona's defense line, so Barcelona may win 3-2.