20 points reversal + 42 points, G3 last two groups 2-1! US media updated the probability of winning the championship: top 79.4%
The Eastern Finals staged a 20-point reversal + the Western Finals beat 42 points one-sidedly! After the G3 of the division final, the scores of both groups were 2-1. Theanalyst also immediately updated the probability of winning based on big data. The Thunder still ranks first, and the probability of winning is still as high as 79.4%. The East and West scores are as follows: Pacers 2-1 Knicks; Western Finals: Thunder 2-1 Timberwolves. 4th place: Timberwolves Final probability: 8.2% Champions chance: 5.1% Timberwolves won a 42-point victory after G3 returned to home, and completed the check-in almost halftime, but they were still despised by big data. The reason is also very simple. On the one hand, the Timberwolves still lag behind 1-2 in a big score after winning the game. On the other hand, the Thunder still holds the home advantage. On the other hand, the G3 game is quickly spent. The Thunder did not resist too much, but instead made the quality and content of the game not reference. If Edwards and Randle can continue to explode, win another victory, and tie the big score 2-2, I believe they will be regarded as returning to the competition in the series. 3rd place: Knicks Finals probability: 37.4% Champion probability: 6% Compared with the frequent one-sided games in the Western Conference, the intensity and competitiveness of the Eastern Conference Finals are significantly stronger. After losing two home games, G3 went to the Pacers to complete a 20-point reversal away, and also tied the big score to 1-2, increasing the probability of advancement to 37.4%. Compared to the Timberwolves, which won a big victory, the Knicks' big reversal is significantly more valuable and the game is much richer. First, coach Thibodeau finally got to know the problem and expanded the seven players he had used for a long time to 9 players. After Shamet and Wright were activated, they quickly played the role of surprises, which obviously disrupted the Pacers' arrangement. followed by the second in command, Towns, who obtained tactical status. Unlike the end points of playing blue-collar and off-ball in the first two games, after Brunson suffered a foul, Towns was ordered to become the core of the tactical in the face of danger, and the result was excellent. He singled out 20 points in the last quarter and led the team to complete a major reversal. These two changes made this round of series rekindle suspense. Second place: Pacers The final probability: 62.6% The probability of winning the championship: 9.5% After the Pacers won consecutive away games, G3 returned to home and reversed 20 points. There is indeed some controversy in the referee's call, but the bigger problem occurs with the Pacers themselves. As a typical offensive team, the Pacers lost their killer moves in G3, especially at critical moments. The key man Haliburton, who proved himself many times in the playoffs, suddenly disappeared, causing Sika and Turner to make some difficult shots, and finally the unbeaten golden body was forced to be in a critical moment of 7 wins and 0 losses. With Nesmith's injury, the Knicks began to increase rotation in a targeted manner, and at the same time tried to transfer the tactical core to Towns, the battle between the two teams will inevitably become more and more intense. No.1: Thunder The final probability: 91.8% The probability of winning the championship: 79.4% The Thunder are still one-sidedly favored by big data. After all, the Thunder still leads 2-1 with a big score, and at the same time, the lineup is healthy, outstanding in depth, balanced internal and external lines, and there is also a new MVP Alexander. plus the semi-final experience of the tiebreak baptism with the Nuggets, no matter from which perspective, this Thunder team is the most champion team among the remaining four teams. Of course, after the G3 defeat, Alexander needed to give a strong response in G4, especially in some games where there is no advantage in dictating. Alexander urgently needs to respond to external doubts with more extreme and tough personal scoring performance. Otherwise, even if he wins the championship in the end, it will be difficult for Alexander's star value and status to be improved and officially recognized. The probability of is as follows:
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