Bundesliga: St. Pauli is in good shape, is there no hope of getting points in Stuttgart? Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli

Bundesliga: Stuttgart VS St. Pauli

Match time: 2025-09-20 02:30 Saturday

Team recent situation analysis:

Stuttgart performed poorly in the new season, with a record of one win and two losses, ranking 12th in the league. Since the main striker Walter Mad joined Newcastle after transfer, and another substitute forward Larson went to Burnley, and the club failed to introduce some more powerful forward players in the future, and only signed back Thomas, who had previously joined Wolfsburg, Stuttgart's offensive ability has been greatly weakened. It is precisely because it is difficult to open up the situation on the offensive end that the team failed to show too strong competitiveness in the previous rounds of the league. Stuttgart still has Europa League events to be distracted. When the team still fails to find the right tactical style of play, it is obviously a big question mark to enter the multi-line battle. In the last game, Stuttgart lost 1-3 away to Freiburg, and failed to win the first three away games in the new season. Judging from the game process, Stuttgart broke the deadlock on the court early with Dmirovic's goal in this game. However, after gaining the lead, Stuttgart changed his tactical style and placed more energy and physical fitness on the interception level of the mid- and backcourts. In fact, it did not continue to create too much defensive pressure on Freiburg. Instead, Freiburg, who was behind in the score, gradually found the feeling of the game during the continuous counterattack. In the second half, he formed a siege against Stuttgart. It was precisely with a continuous attack at the end of the second half that Freiburg was able to finally complete a reversal against Stuttgart. In terms of individuals, Stuttgart has been mainly engaged in team collaboration capabilities in the past few seasons, and his offense relies more on the personal performance of several midfielders. But now Waltermad has transferred and left, which means the team has lost a stable offensive firepower point. When the team cannot establish a new offensive core, Stuttgart can only limit the opponent's offensive by strengthening defense. If a team only has defense and cannot create defensive pressure on the opponent, it will naturally not be able to achieve too good results. What's more, Stuttgart also has the Europa League and the German Cup to deal with. Obviously, it will be difficult for this team to get back on track in a short period of time.

Sao Pauli's performance at the beginning of this season is undoubtedly eye-catching. After the first three rounds of the league, Sao Pauli occupied the fourth place in the league with excellent results of two wins and one draw. Although there are no big-name stars in the Sao Paulo team and the depth of the lineup is relatively limited, thanks to the players' hot competitive state and active defensive performance, Sao Paulo has indeed shown a point-grabbing ability far exceeding its own strength. As long as the players can continue their previous competitive level, Sao Paulo will still cause huge trouble for the confrontation opponents in the future. In terms of the tactical board, Sao Paulo continues to use a 3412 formation in the new season, which is still a certain difference from the 343 formation last season. Although they are both three-back systems, after changing to the 3412 formation, Sao Paulo's sense of defensive level has been significantly improved. In addition, the players in the midfield and frontcourt have also guaranteed their defensive awareness, so the team can achieve excellent starts. The first round of the league draw at home 3-3 is the best example. Sao Paulo's ball possession rate is not as good as Dortmund, but the number of attack attempts is three times more than Dortmund, which means that Sao Paulo has a strong defensive counterattack ability. As long as the players do not have too many physical problems, Sao Paulo will be able to defeat stronger competitors in this offensive and defensive state.

Event analysis: There must be a considerable gap in strength between Stuttgart and St. Pauli, but since Stuttgart's offensive firepower is relatively limited at this stage, and there are still UEFA Cup games to be distracted in the future, St. Pauli actually has the hope of grabbing away points in this game. Moreover, St. Pauli's tactical style not only guarantees the defensive strength, but also continuously creates considerable defensive pressure on the opponent through rapid counterattacks. If St. Pauli's counterattack style is too high, St. Pauli's counterattack style will have the opportunity to fully demonstrate. What's more, St. Pauli is not in a hurry to grab points. Instead, St. Pauli needs points to prove his strength. I believe that St. Pauli is very likely to grab a valuable point in this game with his outstanding defensive resilience.