Is Tanhua or a parallel product? Why is Bailey, who has lost his physical test, still firmly in the top three of the 2025 draft?

The most lively topic in the NBA draft circle in recent 2025 is not the No. 1 pick Flag or the No. 3 Harbour, but the popular ACE Bailey in Tanhua - this kid can score 41 points and 26 rebounds in high school, but average 17.6 points per game in college; as soon as the physical test data came out, the vertical bounce of 87cm was called by fans by fans, but he can fly and dunk again in the game. You think he is a potential stock? Or a high-risk lottery? Let's have a good chat.

ACE of the basketball family: The trump card from the football field to the basketball court is Eli Bailey. ACE is the nickname given to him by the high school football coach, which means the trump card. Although he didn't play it on the football field, he welded these two words to death on the basketball court. Both his parents were from college basketball teams, and his aunt was a WNBA champion and Olympic gold medalist. He practiced with his aunt since he was a child. This gene and resource are born to be a food for basketball.

In high school, his growth was like doubled: he played 5 positions in 195cm in the first year of high school and won the D2 championship; transferred to Georgia in the second year of high school, and his height rose to 203cm, focusing on the third and fourth positions; he averaged 22 points, 14 rebounds, 3 assists and 4 blocks per game in his third year of high school, and entered the top 20 from the check; he directly scored his first year of high school - he averaged 32.5 points, 15.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 2.4 blocks per game, 41 points, 26 rebounds in the preseason, 36 points and 14 rebounds in the opening game, and Camden scored another 41 points and 21 rebounds in the strong school, dunks and blocks can be on the hot search in the United States, which made him directly reach the second place in the same class in this year's draft ranking.

Do you think he can only rely on his body to chisel? In the fourth year of high school, they also developed a high-difficulty medium distance, and the shooting point was so high that the opponent could only watch. Although the movements are not silky enough, I insist on throwing the ruthlessness on your head, very much like Anthony when he was young.

Undergraduate? In fact, it was the environment that took the blame + exposed the shortcomings

But when he arrived at Rutgers University, Bailey's aura suddenly dimmed - he formed a two-point guard Dylan Harber, the first point guard in the United States, but the team failed to make a crazy three-year 3-15 wins and 17 losses; he averaged 17.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Although he had 39 points (the record of a rookie in the history of tiebreakers) and two highlights of 30+, he often felt good when he felt good, and he became a sieve when he was poor.

What's the problem?

First, the team is too weak, he has to carry it and play. Rutgers' lineup is poor, with Pele averaging 17.6 points, all of which are hard-core. If his teammates are not good, he has to shoulder from offense to defense, and his physical fitness and efficiency will naturally decline.

Second, the confrontation and ball holding short boards are magnified. The college confrontation is much stronger than that of high school, and the problem of Pele's unstable dribbling and weak confrontation is exposed - facing strong seniors, they either make mistakes or lose positions; when they break through with the ball, they are often covered with tight covers and can only shoot high-difficulty balls.

Third, reading competition ability needs to be improved. He averaged only 1.3 assists per game, and his opponents were very simple to defend him: shrink the inside and let him shoot. Once he was in a bad position, the team's offense would get stuck. Passing mistakes and decision-making were predicted at critical moments, which made his stadium far less influence than his teammate Haber. At the beginning of the season, both of them were popular among the second place, and in the end, Haber firmly sat second, and he fell to third, which was not unreasonable.

Body test explosion: Is it true water, or is it a good idea?

What made the fans most furious was the physical test data of the joint trial: bare feet 202cm (official report 208cm, shrinkage 6cm), arm span 214cm (medium upper side), maximum vertical bounce of 87.6cm, and vertical 70cm in place - this data is even worse than Harber, and it is completely incompatible with the dunks and blocks in his game.

Some people say that he deliberately lets go, while others say that the physical test did not perform well, but what is more likely is that his explosive power is game-based - in actual combat, he relies on rhythm and confrontation to stimulate potential, and the static test of physical test is actually awkward. Anyone who has watched his game knows that the dunk from the center of the dunk cannot be done without a 1-meter bounce.

Tanhua choose him? Do 76ers want to bet on the upper limit or avoid risks?

The 76 people holding the Tanhua Tag are now worried about whether to choose Bailey. His advantages are obvious:

First of all, his top scoring talent: from high school to college, he can easily get a difficult jump shot, conversion dunk, and a natural big heart scorer; secondly, his defensive lower limit height: 202cm height + 214cm wingspan, and he has guaranteed frame protection, rebounding, and assisted defense; finally and most importantly, his potential space is large: he is only 19 years old (born in August 2006), and he can practice shooting, dribbling, and support.

But the risk is not small:

First, the development cycle is long: the ability to practice the ability to perform at least 2-3 years of confrontation, hold the ball, and play the game may not be effective in the short term; the other is that his position is vague: his height has shrunk to 202cm, he does not have enough confrontation to play the No. 4 position, and he cannot hold the ball, so he has to find a wrong position; finally, his mentality problem: he said that I think I am a very strong passer, but if you have the chance to score, you must choose points. Confidence is a good thing, but excessive persistence in scoring may affect the team. Bailey's future lies in letting go of obsessions

ACE Bailey is like a piece of thorny jade - talent is enough, but the edges are too stubborn. What he needs is not to pull out seedlings to encourage growth, but a team that is willing to give him time to polish: practice dribbling, increase confrontation, learn support, and turn difficult scorers into efficient scorers. If the

76ers choose him, they must be prepared for the pain in the past two years, but once the polishing is successful, he may be the next big striker who can be both inside and outside. After all, many high-risk rookies in basketball history have ended up becoming low-probability surprises - can ACE Bailey counterattack? Let's see the finale at the talent show night!